TeeRoy's 2 Cents:

  • At five days, the average track error for hurricane forecasts is more than 300 miles. So this thing has plenty of time to turn out to sea.
  • This reminds me of Rita, which became a monster in the Gulf not long after Katrina.
  • The U.S. had been pretty lucky since Sandy in 2012. Looks like our luck may have run out.


Harvey has been downgraded to a tropical depression, but we can't let down our guards. Tropical Storm Irma is gathering steam.

Irma is far out in the Atlantic, but the National Hurricane Center predicts that it will reach major hurricane strength in a few days and that its track will take it into the Caribbean Sea. Beyond that, it's too early to tell whether the storm will head for the Gulf of Mexico, turn up the East Coast or simply fizzle out.

In the Pacific, Tropical Storm Lidia is headed for the Baja Peninsula, but forecasters say because of interaction with land, it's unlikely to strengthen much.